What Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300497) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300497) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 4.7% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Pharmaceuticals industry is similar at about 3.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical
What Does Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical?
Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.5%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300497
Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical
Engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of APIs and pharmaceutical intermediates in China and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet minimal.