Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd (SZSE:300267) With Shares Advancing 27%

SZSE:300267
Source: Shutterstock

The Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd (SZSE:300267) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 15% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300267 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024

What Does Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 34%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 33% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 134% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.