Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Guiyang Xintian Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002873) Earnings Despite 28% Price Jump

SZSE:002873
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Those holding Guiyang Xintian Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002873) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 25% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 31x and even P/E's higher than 56x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002873 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 11th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 54% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 63% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E close to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.