There's No Escaping Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000952) Muted Revenues Despite A 28% Share Price Rise
Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000952) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 29% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical
How Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's Revenue Growth Trending?
Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.3%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 14% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
The Final Word
Despite Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
In line with expectations, Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000952
Hubei Guangji Pharmaceutical
Manufactures and sells pharmaceutical raw materials, medicinal feed additives, fine chemicals, and preparations in China.
Slightly overvalued very low.