Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Tus-Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000590) After Shares Rise 27%

SZSE:000590
Source: Shutterstock

Tus-Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000590) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Tus-Pharmaceutical Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Tus-Pharmaceutical Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000590 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

What Does Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Tus-Pharmaceutical Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 21% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 40% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 17% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Tus-Pharmaceutical Group's P/S

Tus-Pharmaceutical Group shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that Tus-Pharmaceutical Group currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Tus-Pharmaceutical Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tus-Pharmaceutical Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Tus-Pharmaceutical Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.