Optimistic Investors Push Sinotherapeutics Inc. (SHSE:688247) Shares Up 27% But Growth Is Lacking
Sinotherapeutics Inc. (SHSE:688247) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.5% isn't as impressive.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 36x, you may consider Sinotherapeutics as a stock to potentially avoid with its 49.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sinotherapeutics as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Sinotherapeutics
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sinotherapeutics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Sinotherapeutics' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 46% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 26% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sinotherapeutics' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Sinotherapeutics' P/E?
The large bounce in Sinotherapeutics' shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Sinotherapeutics revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Sinotherapeutics that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688247
Sinotherapeutics
A specialty pharmaceutical company, develops generic and formulation products in China.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.