Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise Beijing Hotgen Biotech Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688068) Revenues Pushing Shares 27% Higher

SHSE:688068
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Beijing Hotgen Biotech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688068) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 43%.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Life Sciences industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5x, you may consider Beijing Hotgen Biotech as a stock not worth researching with its 10.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Beijing Hotgen Biotech

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688068 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 23rd 2024

What Does Beijing Hotgen Biotech's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Beijing Hotgen Biotech as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Beijing Hotgen Biotech.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Beijing Hotgen Biotech?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Beijing Hotgen Biotech's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 45%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 87% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 21% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 16%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Beijing Hotgen Biotech's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Beijing Hotgen Biotech's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Beijing Hotgen Biotech maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Life Sciences industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Beijing Hotgen Biotech you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijing Hotgen Biotech might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.