Stock Analysis

Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group's (SHSE:605199) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

SHSE:605199
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The market rallied behind Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605199) stock, leading do a rise in the share price after its recent weak earnings report. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.

See our latest analysis for Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group

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SHSE:605199 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024

Zooming In On Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group recorded an accrual ratio of 0.32. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥511m despite its profit of CN¥95.0m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥511m, this year, indicates high risk.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group.

Our Take On Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. And we are pleased to note that EPS is at least heading in the right direction in the alst twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hainan Huluwa Pharmaceutical Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.