Dali Pharmaceuticalco.,Ltd's (SHSE:603963) 29% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Dali Pharmaceuticalco.,Ltd (SHSE:603963) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 41% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 15.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have P/S ratios below 3.2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd
How Has Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd Performed Recently?
For instance, Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 26%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 54% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's P/S
Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603963
Dali Pharmaceuticalco.Ltd
Researches, develops, produces, and sells pharmaceutical products in China.
Mediocre balance sheet very low.