Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd (SHSE:600812) Underpins Its Share Price

SHSE:600812
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd (SHSE:600812) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Pharmaceuticals companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600812 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 25th 2024

How Has North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd Performed Recently?

For example, consider that North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.2%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 9.3% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 139% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's understandable that North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What Does North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.