Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301231) As Shares Slide 27%

SZSE:301231
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301231) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 52% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.5x, considering almost half the companies in China's Media industry have P/S ratios below 2.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301231 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024

How Has Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development Performed Recently?

For instance, Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's Revenue Growth Trending?

Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 27% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's P/S Mean For Investors?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development's very lofty P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development has 5 warning signs (and 3 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.