Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned About COL Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300364) Share Price

SZSE:300364
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COL Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300364) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.8x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Media industry in China have P/S ratios below 2.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for COL GroupLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300364 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 7th 2024

What Does COL GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent revenue growth for COL GroupLtd has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on COL GroupLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as COL GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.6% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 31% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 26% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 12%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why COL GroupLtd is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From COL GroupLtd's P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that COL GroupLtd maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Media industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for COL GroupLtd that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.