Stock Analysis

Is COL GroupLtd (SZSE:300364) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that COL Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300364) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for COL GroupLtd

What Is COL GroupLtd's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that COL GroupLtd had CN¥225.0m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥266.1m in cash, so it actually has CN¥41.1m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300364 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2024

A Look At COL GroupLtd's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that COL GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥541.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥35.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥266.1m and CN¥180.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥131.1m.

Having regard to COL GroupLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥12.5b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, COL GroupLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine COL GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, COL GroupLtd reported revenue of CN¥1.3b, which is a gain of 8.6%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

So How Risky Is COL GroupLtd?

While COL GroupLtd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥58m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for COL GroupLtd you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:300364

COL GroupLtd

Engages in the provision of digital reading products, digital publishing operation, and digital content value-added services in China and internationally.

Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.

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