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Revenues Tell The Story For Shanghai Film Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601595) As Its Stock Soars 28%
The Shanghai Film Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601595) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 11% is also fairly reasonable.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Shanghai Film is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 19.5x, considering almost half the companies in China's Entertainment industry have P/S ratios below 6.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Film
What Does Shanghai Film's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times haven't been great for Shanghai Film as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Film will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Shanghai Film's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shanghai Film's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as revenue have been stuck during that whole time. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow revenue meaningfully over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 43% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 23%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Film's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The strong share price surge has lead to Shanghai Film's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Film's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shanghai Film, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601595
Shanghai Film
Engages in film distribution and screening activities in China.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.
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