Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300478) 40% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Those holding Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300478) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 40% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.7% isn't as impressive.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology
What Does Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.0%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 21% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's P/S
Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300478
Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology
Hangzhou Gaoxin Materials Technology Co., Ltd.
Mediocre balance sheet and overvalued.