Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300192) 27% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Those holding Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300192) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 6.1% isn't as impressive.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology

How Has Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology Performed Recently?

For instance, Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.1%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 13% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Suzhou Kingswood Education Technology has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.