Stock Analysis

Hebei Jianxin Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300107) Stock Rockets 47% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SZSE:300107
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Those holding Hebei Jianxin Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300107) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 47% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 15% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Hebei Jianxin Chemical as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Hebei Jianxin Chemical

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300107 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024

What Does Hebei Jianxin Chemical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Hebei Jianxin Chemical's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hebei Jianxin Chemical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hebei Jianxin Chemical's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 8.5% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hebei Jianxin Chemical is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Hebei Jianxin Chemical's P/S?

Hebei Jianxin Chemical's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Hebei Jianxin Chemical currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 5 warning signs for Hebei Jianxin Chemical (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hebei Jianxin Chemical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hebei Jianxin Chemical might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.