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Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002842)
There wouldn't be many who think Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002842) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Metals and Mining industry in China is similar at about 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten
What Does Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten's Recent Performance Look Like?
Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.1%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 20% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 48% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 14%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002842
Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten
Develops, produces, and sells tungsten products in China.
Fair value with limited growth.