Stock Analysis
Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry LTD. ,company's (SZSE:002538) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry LTD. ,company's (SZSE:002538) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 37x and even P/E's above 73x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 71% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 52% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 38% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002538
Anhui Sierte Fertilizer industry company
Produces and sells compound fertilizers in China.