With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 29x in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about GEM Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002340) P/E ratio of 27.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
GEM certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
See our latest analysis for GEM
Keen to find out how analysts think GEM's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is GEM's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like GEM's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 12% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 98% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 25% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that GEM's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that GEM maintains its moderate P/E off the back of its forecast growth being in line with the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings won't throw up any surprises. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - GEM has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than GEM. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:002340
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.