Stock Analysis

Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's (SZSE:000933) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

SZSE:000933
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The market for Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power Corporation Limited's (SZSE:000933) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

View our latest analysis for Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power

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SZSE:000933 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to March 2024. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥9.1b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥5.45b. Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's Profit Performance

Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power and you'll want to know about this.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.