Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603991) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely
Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603991) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 38% in the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may still consider Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds as a stock to avoid entirely with its 13.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds
What Does Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 34%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 59% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds' shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
The fact that Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Shenzhen Original Advanced Compounds is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.