Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603599)

SHSE:603599
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Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603599) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 38x and even P/E's above 73x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603599 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 18th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
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Is There Any Growth For Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical?

Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 61% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 42% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 47% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 37%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.