Suli Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603585) Shares Bounce 32% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Suli Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603585) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 42% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Suli's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Suli
What Does Suli's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Suli's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Suli's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
Suli's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.4%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Suli's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
The Bottom Line On Suli's P/S
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Suli's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Suli revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Suli you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Suli's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603585
Suli
Researches, produces, and sells agrochemicals, flame retardants, pharmaceutical intermediates, and other fine chemicals.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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