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Little Excitement Around Henan Mingtai Al.Industrial Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601677) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12x Henan Mingtai Al.Industrial Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601677) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 58x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 6.6% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.4% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd's P/E
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601677
Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd
Produces and sells aluminum products in China.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.