Stock Analysis

Does Shanying International HoldingsLtd (SHSE:600567) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SHSE:600567
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shanying International Holdings Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600567) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Shanying International HoldingsLtd

What Is Shanying International HoldingsLtd's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shanying International HoldingsLtd had CN„28.2b of debt in June 2024, down from CN„32.2b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN„4.36b, its net debt is less, at about CN„23.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600567 Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024

How Strong Is Shanying International HoldingsLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shanying International HoldingsLtd had liabilities of CN„28.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN„10.3b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN„4.36b and CN„5.14b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN„29.3b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN„6.52b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Shanying International HoldingsLtd would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.0 hit our confidence in Shanying International HoldingsLtd like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Shanying International HoldingsLtd is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN„901m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanying International HoldingsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Shanying International HoldingsLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

To be frank both Shanying International HoldingsLtd's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Shanying International HoldingsLtd's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanying International HoldingsLtd (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.