Stock Analysis

Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co., Ltd (SHSE:600165) Looks Just Right With A 50% Price Jump

SHSE:600165
Source: Shutterstock

Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co., Ltd (SHSE:600165) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 50% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 56% share price decline over the last year.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 1.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600165 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 12th 2024

What Does Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 48%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 115% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.