Stock Analysis

Is Winner Medical (SZSE:300888) Using Too Much Debt?

SZSE:300888
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Winner Medical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300888) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Winner Medical

How Much Debt Does Winner Medical Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Winner Medical had debt of CN¥1.59b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.62b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥6.28b in cash, leading to a CN¥4.69b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300888 Debt to Equity History July 15th 2024

A Look At Winner Medical's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Winner Medical had liabilities of CN¥3.62b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥716.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.28b in cash and CN¥1.19b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.14b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that Winner Medical is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Winner Medical boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In fact Winner Medical's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 79% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Winner Medical's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Winner Medical has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Winner Medical recorded free cash flow worth 61% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Winner Medical has net cash of CN¥4.69b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Winner Medical's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Winner Medical that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.