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Investors Aren't Buying Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.8x Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd (SZSE:000963) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 38x and even P/E's higher than 75x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Huadong Medicine certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Huadong Medicine's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 38% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 17% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 21% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Huadong Medicine's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Huadong Medicine's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Huadong Medicine's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Huadong Medicine.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Huadong Medicine, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000963
Huadong Medicine
Produces and sells various pharmaceutical products in China.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.