Revenues Not Telling The Story For HaiXin Foods Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002702) After Shares Rise 33%
Despite an already strong run, HaiXin Foods Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002702) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.8% over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about HaiXin FoodsLtd's P/S ratio of 1.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Food industry in China is about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for HaiXin FoodsLtd
How Has HaiXin FoodsLtd Performed Recently?
HaiXin FoodsLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this good revenue growth might only be parallel to the broader industry in the near future. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on HaiXin FoodsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, HaiXin FoodsLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.8% last year. Revenue has also lifted 6.3% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that HaiXin FoodsLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What Does HaiXin FoodsLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now HaiXin FoodsLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that HaiXin FoodsLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Having said that, be aware HaiXin FoodsLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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About SZSE:002702
HaiXin FoodsLtd
Engages in the production and sale of quick-frozen fish and meat products, rice and noodle products, room temperature snack food products, and quick-frozen dishes.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.