Qingdao Foods Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001219) will pay a dividend of CN¥0.30 on the 27th of June. This payment means that the dividend yield will be 1.9%, which is around the industry average.
Check out our latest analysis for Qingdao Foods
Qingdao Foods' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Prior to this announcement, Qingdao Foods' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.
Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 0.8% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 49%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.
Qingdao Foods Is Still Building Its Track Record
The dividend has been pretty stable looking back, but the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This makes it tough to judge how it would fare through a full economic cycle. Since 2022, the annual payment back then was CN¥0.178, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.30. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 30% a year over that time. Qingdao Foods has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.
Qingdao Foods May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. However, Qingdao Foods' EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year.
In Summary
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Qingdao Foods' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Qingdao Foods (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Qingdao Foods not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:001219
Qingdao Foods
Engages in the production and sale of biscuits and other baked food in China.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.