Stock Analysis

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000929) Shares After Tumbling 26%

SZSE:000929
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise Co., Ltd (SZSE:000929) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 40% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Beverage industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000929 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 28th 2024

How Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise Has Been Performing

For instance, Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's Revenue Growth Trending?

Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.4%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 28% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 18% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's P/S Mean For Investors?

Following Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We find it unexpected that Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.