Stock Analysis

Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group's (SZSE:000911) Earnings

SZSE:000911
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Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:000911) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.

See our latest analysis for Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group

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SZSE:000911 Earnings and Revenue History April 9th 2024

Zooming In On Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group has an accrual ratio of -0.14 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥432m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥27.5m. Given that Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥432m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥35m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group's Profit Performance

Considering both Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Based on these factors, we think Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

After our examination into the nature of Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangxi Rural Investment Sugar Industry Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.