Some Confidence Is Lacking In Beijing Sanyuan Foods Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600429) P/E
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 27x, you may consider Beijing Sanyuan Foods Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600429) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 37.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Earnings have risen firmly for Beijing Sanyuan Foods recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Beijing Sanyuan Foods
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Beijing Sanyuan Foods will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Beijing Sanyuan Foods' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 20% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that Beijing Sanyuan Foods' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Beijing Sanyuan Foods revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Beijing Sanyuan Foods you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600429
Beijing Sanyuan Foods
Produces, processes, and sells dairy products, cold drinks, beverages, and food products in China.
Mediocre balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.