Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Hainan Yedao (Group) Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600238) P/S

SHSE:600238
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Beverage industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.4x, Hainan Yedao (Group) Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600238) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 17.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600238 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 28th 2024

What Does Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 52%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 56% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hainan Yedao (Group)Ltd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.