Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Sino Geophysical Co., Ltd (SZSE:300191) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Sino Geophysical
What Is Sino Geophysical's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Sino Geophysical had CN¥677.4m of debt, an increase on CN¥377.1m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥401.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥276.4m.
How Strong Is Sino Geophysical's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sino Geophysical had liabilities of CN¥847.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥670.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥401.0m and CN¥38.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.08b.
Sino Geophysical has a market capitalization of CN¥5.20b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Sino Geophysical's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Sino Geophysical reported revenue of CN¥500m, which is a gain of 9.5%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Sino Geophysical produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥44m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥572m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Sino Geophysical is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300191
Sino Geophysical
Provides integrated oil and gas exploration and development technology services in China and internationally.
Very low with worrying balance sheet.