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Slowing Rates Of Return At Geo-Jade Petroleum (SHSE:600759) Leave Little Room For Excitement
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Geo-Jade Petroleum (SHSE:600759), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Geo-Jade Petroleum:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.061 = CN¥685m ÷ (CN¥12b - CN¥1.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Thus, Geo-Jade Petroleum has an ROCE of 6.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 10.0%.
Check out our latest analysis for Geo-Jade Petroleum
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Geo-Jade Petroleum.
The Trend Of ROCE
There hasn't been much to report for Geo-Jade Petroleum's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Geo-Jade Petroleum to be a multi-bagger going forward.
One more thing to note, even though ROCE has remained relatively flat over the last five years, the reduction in current liabilities to 8.7% of total assets, is good to see from a business owner's perspective. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk.
The Key Takeaway
In a nutshell, Geo-Jade Petroleum has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. And with the stock having returned a mere 6.8% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Geo-Jade Petroleum (of which 1 is potentially serious!) that you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600759
Geo-Jade Petroleum
Engages in the exploration and development of oil and gas properties in China.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.