Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding Changjiang Securities Company Limited (SZSE:000783)

SZSE:000783
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Changjiang Securities Company Limited's (SZSE:000783) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 29x and even P/E's above 54x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Changjiang Securities hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Changjiang Securities

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000783 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 15th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Changjiang Securities' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Changjiang Securities' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 49%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 53% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 32% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 24% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that Changjiang Securities is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Changjiang Securities' P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Changjiang Securities' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Changjiang Securities that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Changjiang Securities, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.