Stock Analysis

Despite delivering investors losses of 13% over the past 5 years, Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd (SZSE:002697) has been growing its earnings

SZSE:002697
Source: Shutterstock

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Chengdu Hongqi Chain Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002697) share price has gained 12% in the last three months. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 24% in that half decade.

The recent uptick of 6.6% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

While the share price declined over five years, Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 2.7% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.

Revenue is actually up 5.4% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002697 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 20th 2025

This free interactive report on Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd, it has a TSR of -13% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 20% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 3% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd that you should be aware of.

But note: Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:002697

Chengdu Hongqi ChainLtd

Operates a chain of convenience supermarkets in China.

Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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