Stock Analysis

We Think You Can Look Beyond LBX Pharmacy Chain's (SHSE:603883) Lackluster Earnings

SHSE:603883
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LBX Pharmacy Chain Joint Stock Company's (SHSE:603883) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. We think that investors might be looking at some positive factors beyond the earnings numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for LBX Pharmacy Chain

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603883 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024

A Closer Look At LBX Pharmacy Chain's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to September 2024, LBX Pharmacy Chain recorded an accrual ratio of -0.11. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥1.9b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥842.6m. LBX Pharmacy Chain shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On LBX Pharmacy Chain's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, LBX Pharmacy Chain has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think LBX Pharmacy Chain's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 14% per year over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, LBX Pharmacy Chain has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of LBX Pharmacy Chain's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.