Stock Analysis

Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301049) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 30% Price Plummet

SZSE:301049
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301049) shares are down a considerable 30% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 41% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Commercial Services industry have P/S ratios below 2.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301049 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 26th 2024

How Has Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen firmly for Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 18% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 20% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 29% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Even after such a strong price drop, Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.