Stock Analysis

Yuancheng Environment Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603388) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 28%

SHSE:603388
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Yuancheng Environment Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603388) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 49% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Yuancheng Environment is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Commercial Services industry have P/S ratios below 2.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Yuancheng Environment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603388 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 24th 2024

What Does Yuancheng Environment's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Yuancheng Environment over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Yuancheng Environment's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Yuancheng Environment's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Yuancheng Environment would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 62% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Yuancheng Environment's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Yuancheng Environment's P/S

Yuancheng Environment's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Yuancheng Environment currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Yuancheng Environment is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Yuancheng Environment is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.