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We Think Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group (SHSE:600874) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group Company Limited (SHSE:600874) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group
What Is Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group had CN¥10.2b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥2.62b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥7.62b.
A Look At Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group had liabilities of CN¥4.41b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥10.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.62b and CN¥4.17b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥7.84b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.88b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group's debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.0 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. If Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 11% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
Mulling over Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600874
Tianjin Capital Environmental Protection Group
Engages in the sewage treatment business in the People’s Republic of China.
Solid track record average dividend payer.