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There's Reason For Concern Over GuangDong Suqun New Material Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301489) Massive 112% Price Jump
GuangDong Suqun New Material Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301489) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 112% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 11.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd
What Does GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.9% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 54% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd's P/S?
GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:301489
GuangDong Suqun New MaterialLtd
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of functional materials in China.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.