There's Reason For Concern Over ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301128) Massive 34% Price Jump
ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301128) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 51% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 59.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 26x and even P/E's below 16x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology
Although there are no analyst estimates available for ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 40% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 19% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology's P/E
Shares in ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology (2 are concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:301128
ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology
ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology Co., Ltd.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.