Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300904) With Shares Advancing 41%

SZSE:300904
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Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300904) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 41% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 34% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300904 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 40%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 39% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology (2 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Yinchuan Weili Transmission Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.