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Shenzhen Bestek Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300822) 25% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
The Shenzhen Bestek Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300822) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 18% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, Shenzhen Bestek Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 32x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Shenzhen Bestek Technology certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Bestek Technology
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Bestek Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Shenzhen Bestek Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 33% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 70% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 38% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Bestek Technology is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Bestek Technology's P/E
The strong share price surge has got Shenzhen Bestek Technology's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Shenzhen Bestek Technology revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Bestek Technology (at least 2 which are a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300822
Shenzhen Bestek Technology
Engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of smart controllers and products in China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.