Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300509) Stock Catapults 39% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

SZSE:300509
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Those holding Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300509) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 39% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300509 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024

What Does Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 23% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd's P/S?

Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging MachineryLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.