Investor Optimism Abounds Dalian Zhiyun Automation Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300097) But Growth Is Lacking
When close to half the companies in the Machinery industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider Dalian Zhiyun Automation Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300097) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Dalian Zhiyun Automation
How Has Dalian Zhiyun Automation Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Dalian Zhiyun Automation's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Dalian Zhiyun Automation's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Dalian Zhiyun Automation's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.2% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 59% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dalian Zhiyun Automation's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Dalian Zhiyun Automation's P/S Mean For Investors?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Dalian Zhiyun Automation currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Dalian Zhiyun Automation that you need to be mindful of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Dalian Zhiyun Automation, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300097
Dalian Zhiyun Automation
Engages in the research and development, and system integration of automation machines in China.
Excellent balance sheet and overvalued.