Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300056) 64% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:300056) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 64% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 80% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios below 2.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology

How Has Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology Performed Recently?

For instance, Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 70% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Shares in Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Xiamen Zhongchuang Environmental Technology that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.